Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23 (2024)

Updated Jul. 23, 2024 12:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jose Quintana will be on the mound for the New York Mets when they take on Juan Soto and the New York Yankees on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Yankees are -159 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Mets (+135). The Yankees are favored on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run over/under has been set in this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Mets game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 23, 2024 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: YES
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Yankees -159 +135 9 -110 -110 -1.5 +127 -152

Yankees vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Yankees 56%, Mets 44%

Yankees vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 44, or 56.4%, of the 78 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • The Yankees have a record of 20-13, a 60.6% win rate, when they're favored by -159 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 61.4% chance to win.
  • The Mets have been victorious in 18, or 43.9%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, the Mets have won four of nine games when listed as at least +135 or better on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Tue 11:05 PM TBS MLB RUN LINETO WINTOTAL New York Mets NYM New York Yankees NYY

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

  • The Yankees have a 3-5 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Yankees and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Yankees' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 15
ERA 3.30
K/9 9.7

Yankees Player Insights

  • Soto's .311 average leads the Yankees this year. His resume also includes 25 homers and driven in 71 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Soto's home run total ranks him sixth, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
  • Soto carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .478 with four doubles, a triple, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Aaron Judge has shown off his power as he leads his team with 35 home runs and 89 RBI.
  • Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI on the year.
  • Judge carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .353 with a home run, five walks and four RBI.
  • Anthony Volpe is hitting .251 with 19 doubles, seven triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.
  • Volpe is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
  • Alex Verdugo has 19 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 31 walks while batting .229.

Yankees Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+280)
Juan Soto 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+175)
Aaron Judge 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+250) 0.5 (+125)
Anthony Volpe 0.5 (-225) 0.5 (-225) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+205)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Yankees vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Mets as underdogs once.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 15
ERA 3.89
K/9 10.0

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor paces the Mets with 19 home runs and has put up a team-high batting average of .256.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Lindor ranks 17th in home runs and 35th in RBI.
  • Lindor carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with four home runs, 12 walks and nine RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo has driven in the most runs for the Mets with 63 runs batted in.
  • Among all major league hitters, Nimmo ranks 37th in home runs and 18th in RBI.
  • Pete Alonso has 19 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Jeff McNeil has 14 doubles, eight home runs and 22 walks while batting .221.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Álvarez 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (-155) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+250)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+225)
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (-165) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Harrison Bader 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+300)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+200)

Yankees' Juan Soto crushes his SECOND home run of the game against the Rays

Juan Soto blasts his second home run of the day, his fourth multi-HR game this season, extending the New York Yankees' lead to 9-1 against the Tampa Bay Rays.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23 (5)

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Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23 (6)

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Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23 (2024)

FAQs

Have the Mets ever swept the Yankees? ›

Mets erupt for six runs in the 8th inning

Since the inception of Interleague play in 1997, the Mets had swept the Yankees only once in the season series, back in 2013. And this wasn't just a sweep, but a bulldozing.

Who won the Subway series in 2024? ›

— Francisco Alvarez went 3 for 3 with an early homer and three RBI, Tyrone Taylor added a three-run drive and the surging New York Mets routed the New York Yankees 12-2 on Wednesday night for a two-game Subway Series sweep.

Who is favored to win Yankees vs Red Sox? ›

New York is listed as the -113 favorite on the money line (risk $113 to win $100) in the latest Yankees vs. Red Sox odds.

Which team is older, the Yankees or the Mets? ›

Yes, the Yankees have had more success than the Mets. But that's largely because they have simply been around longer. The Yankees originated as the Baltimore Orioles (no relation to the present team) in 1901. When that franchise failed, new owners moved the team to New York in 1903.

Who has a better record the Yankees or the Mets? ›

The New York Yankees have an 80-66 record versus the Mets all-time.

Who leads Yankees in all-time? ›

Derek Jeter is the Yankees' all-time leader in hits, singles, doubles, and stolen bases.

Who won more games Mets or Yankees? ›

Win totals prior to 2024 regular season: Yankees 93.5 wins, Mets 82.5 wins.

When was the last time the Mets swept the Yankees in the Subway Series? ›

With their dominating 12-3 win in the Bronx on Wednesday night, the New York Mets clinched their first Subway Series sweep of the New York Yankees since 2013.

What does yankee mean? ›

Yankee, a native or citizen of the United States or, more narrowly, of the New England states of the United States (Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Connecticut). The term Yankee is often associated with such characteristics as shrewdness, thrift, ingenuity, and conservatism.

Did the Yankees lose 12-3 to the Mets on Wednesday? ›

NEW YORK -- — Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and Tyrone Taylor homered off Gerrit Cole, Lindor added a three-run shot against the bullpen and the New York Mets routed the Yankees 12-3 on Wednesday night to sweep the season Subway Series for the first time since 2013.

Did the Mets sweep the Yankees again? ›

In front of a season-high 48,760 fans at Yankee Stadium, the Mets swept the four-game season series for the first time since taking all four meetings in 2013. The Mets won two games against the Yankees in late June and two more this week. At 53-48, the Mets are a season-high five games over .

What is the Mets record against the Yankees? ›

The New York Yankees are 80-66 against the Mets all-time.

Did the Yankees lose 12-3 to the Mets on Wednesday completing a Subway Series sweep? ›

NEW YORK (AP) — Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor and Tyrone Taylor homered off Gerrit Cole, Lindor added a three-run shot against the bullpen and the New York Mets routed the Yankees 12-3 on Wednesday night to sweep the season Subway Series for the first time since 2013.

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